← Back to @alejandro_XBTCall Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #83411 · Jun 1, 2026 · 23:10 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@alejandro_XBT
Jun 1, 2026 · 23:10 UTC
Bitcoin is doing exactly what I said it would do.
Weeks ago, I was getting laughed at for saying this wasn't the bottom.
We're heading straight toward 40K.
Keep listening to the people who called every bounce a bottom.
I'll keep listening to the charts.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call with 'heading straight toward 40K' as the explicit target. Declarative tone with no hedging language.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines toward 40K. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; 'weeks ago' is past behavior, not a forward timeframe. No bounce, bottom, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $71,366 |
| Target | $40,000 – $40,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.88composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.89 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.98 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.97 |
| Magnitude | 0.89 |
| Max Favorable Move | +19.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.3% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 1, 2026 · 23:10 UTC → Jul 1, 2026 · 23:10 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $71,366 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 217.05,
"mfe": 13566.05,
"mqs": 0.885998,
"ocs": 0.984252,
"tif": 0.967742,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.70145,
"sigma_d": 0.01623108,
"eval_end": "2026-07-01 23:10:23+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.885998,
"max_close": 71510.01,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-01 23:10:23+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 2.171537,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.88486,
"activation_price": 71366.24,
"dir_target_score": 0.420721,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.087537,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 30,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}