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Passport #81282 · May 20, 2026 · 18:55 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@alejandro_XBT
May 20, 2026 · 18:55 UTC
Sorry ethereum:native holders, but someone has to say it.
Right now, everything suggests continuation to the downside.
At this point, a move toward $1200 looks more realistic than a recovery rally. https://t.co/GGsP2DiSV0
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 5 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call with 'continuation to the downside' and explicit target of $1200. 'Looks more realistic' qualifies as mild_hedge rather than declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH declines toward $1200. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires — DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $2,132 |
| Target | $1,200 – $1,200 |
| Duration | 5 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.76composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.85 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.83 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.80 |
| Magnitude | 0.85 |
| Max Favorable Move | +5.8% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 480 · 2h |
| Eval window | May 20, 2026 · 18:55 UTC → May 25, 2026 · 18:55 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 5 |
| Duration used in scoring | 5 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $2,132 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 25.4,
"mfe": 122.8,
"mqs": 0.845654,
"ocs": 0.828609,
"tif": 0.803279,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-23 08:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.568838,
"sigma_d": 0.0193221,
"eval_end": "2026-05-25 18:55:27+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.845654,
"max_close": 2148.73,
"min_close": 2023.82,
"eval_start": "2026-05-20 18:55:27+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 5,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.868561,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.761595,
"activation_price": 2132.1,
"dir_target_score": 0.116168,
"candles_evaluated": 480,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.030824,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 61,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 61,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 49,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 61
} 