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Passport #141591 · Jun 27, 2026 · 13:15 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@alejandro_XBT
Jun 27, 2026 · 13:15 UTC
I don't understand what makes people believe 60K is the bottom.
There's no real reaction.
No meaningful demand.
And we've tested this critical support too many times already.
It's only a matter of time before it breaks.
You don't need to be a genius to see what's happening.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $60,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
60K is the support trigger that must break for the bearish thesis to activate. Forecaster declaratively states it's 'only a matter of time before it breaks' implying downside continuation. No numeric target stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC breaks below 60K support and continues down. Per §0.5, 'before it breaks' is trigger language; no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. 'It's only a matter of time' is vague forward language with no bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $59,577 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $60,000 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 29, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $60,469 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 3884.98,
"mfe": 1776.82,
"mqs": 0.539605,
"ocs": 0.313826,
"tif": 0.125,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.135679,
"sigma_d": 0.02684045,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.539605,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-29 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 59577.01,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-29 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.775671,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.278527,
"activation_price": 59577.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 599,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.038449,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 8,
"trigger_candle_index": 1,
"aggregated_candles_count": 8,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 8
}