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Passport #141195 · Jun 26, 2026 · 20:33 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@alejandro_XBT
Jun 26, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Saylor will send $BTC to 16K
Tom Lee will send $ETH to $400
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | sarcastic |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post is sarcastic commentary mocking Tom Lee, implying his involvement will tank ETH to $400 (a massive drop from current levels). Direction is down given the target is far below any plausible current price, and the framing parallels 'Saylor will send BTC to 16K' which is clearly bearish sarcasm.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH drops to $400. No horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,569 |
| Target | $400 – $400 |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | reviewer_override |
| Duration stated (days) | 180 |
| Duration used in scoring | 180 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | sarcastic |
| Spot price at post | $1,569 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 239.01,
"mfe": 20.27,
"mqs": 0.270723,
"ocs": 0.078178,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-28 23:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.024144,
"sigma_d": 0.0282331,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.270723,
"max_close": 1804.67,
"min_close": 1552.79,
"eval_start": "2026-06-26 20:33:25+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 180,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.315702,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.093261,
"activation_price": 1568.64,
"dir_target_score": 0.013563,
"candles_evaluated": 804,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.040931,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}