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Passport #141194 · Jun 26, 2026 · 20:33 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@alejandro_XBT
Jun 26, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Saylor will send $BTC to 16K
Tom Lee will send $ETH to $400
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | sarcastic |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Sarcastic post mocking Saylor by suggesting he'll crash BTC to 16K. Direction is down with target of 16000, but tone is clearly sarcastic/mocking rather than a genuine forecast.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to 16K. No horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $59,658 |
| Target | $16,000 – $16,000 |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | reviewer_override |
| Duration stated (days) | 180 |
| Duration used in scoring | 180 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | sarcastic |
| Spot price at post | $59,658 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 3804,
"mfe": 1857.8,
"mqs": 0.502471,
"ocs": 0.328129,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.05813,
"sigma_d": 0.02177799,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.502471,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-26 20:33:25+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 180,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.698101,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.222183,
"activation_price": 59657.99,
"dir_target_score": 0.034087,
"candles_evaluated": 804,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.044608,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}